Operation Foresight

Purpose

Create the context, structure the plan, and define mission scope.

Primary Logic Primitives

• • define → Establish project parameters and boundaries
• • sequence → Create temporal and logical phase mapping
• • reflect → Identify potential blindspots before beginning

Key Tasks

1. define_project_scope → Establish boundaries and expectations ✓
2. define_threat_typologies → Create taxonomic framework for threats ✓
3. sequence_research_phases → Map the investigation flow ✓
4. reflect_on_known_blindspots → Preemptively identify gaps

Transition Criteria

• • Scope document approved
• • Threat typology framework defined
• • Research phases sequence established
• • Initial boomerang state established

Output Artifacts

• • scope-definition.html ✓
• • threat-typologies.html ✓
• • research-phases.html ✓
• • .roo/boomerang-state.json update

Purpose

Collect raw intelligence, web signals, and primary data about emerging threats and governance issues.

Primary Logic Primitives

• • observe → Gather raw intelligence without distortion
• • distinguish → Separate signal from noise using criteria
• • reflect → Consider potential blindspots in observation

Key Tasks

1. observe_recent_ai_threats → Raw data collection on new vulnerabilities, attack vectors, LLM exploits
2. observe_governance_failures → Capture governance events, legal shifts, policy reversals
3. distinguish_critical_events → Filter observations based on significance criteria
4. reflect_on_observation_gaps → Identify potential observation blindspots

Process Combinations

• • Initial Curiosity (Observe)
• • Information Filtering (Observe → Reflect → Define)
• • Anomaly Detection (Observe → Reflect → Infer)

Transition Criteria

• • Minimum threshold of observations collected
• • Critical signals identified and filtered
• • Observation matrix populated with raw data
• • Initial SCM triggers documented

Output Artifacts

• • raw-ai-threats.html
• • raw-governance-failures.html
• • critical-signals.html
• • observation-matrix.html

Purpose

Build structured definitions and typologies from raw observations.

Primary Logic Primitives

• • define → Establish precise boundaries and characteristics
• • distinguish → Identify categorical differences
• • compare → Evaluate similarities and differences

Key Tasks

1. define_threat_vector_profiles → Assign scope, actors, means, motives
2. define_governance_models → Map regulatory forms (centralized, distributed, absent)
3. compare_state_responses → Evaluate geopolitical governance divergences
4. distinguish_public_vs_private → Identify control asymmetries

Process Combinations

• • Conceptual Mapping (Define → Synthesize → Reflect)
• • Comparative Analysis (Observe → Define → Reflect → Infer → Synthesize)
• • Contextual Understanding (Observe → Reflect → Define)

Transition Criteria

• • Complete set of threat vector profiles
• • Governance model taxonomy defined
• • Comparative analysis of regulatory approaches complete
• • Classification system validated

Output Artifacts

• • threat-vector-profiles.html
• • governance-model-taxonomy.html
• • regulatory-approach-comparison.html
• • public-private-control-analysis.html

Purpose

Generate predictions, identify patterns, and evaluate second-order effects.

Primary Logic Primitives

• • infer → Draw conclusions and predictions from evidence
• • reflect → Evaluate the quality and completeness of inferences
• • ask → Identify areas where additional information is needed

Key Tasks

1. infer_second_order_effects → Predict cascading impacts of threats
2. infer_regulation_effectiveness → Assess likely outcomes of governance approaches
3. reflect_on_framework_gaps → Identify weaknesses in current models
4. infer_interaction_patterns → Predict how threats and governance interact

Process Combinations

• • Future Projection (Define → Infer → Reflect → Infer → Synthesize)
• • Hypothesis Testing (Define → Observe → Infer → Reflect)
• • Risk Evaluation (Define → Reflect → Infer)

Transition Criteria

• • Second-order effects mapped
• • Governance effectiveness predictions documented
• • Framework gap analysis complete
• • Interaction pattern matrix populated

Output Artifacts

• • second-order-effects.html
• • governance-effectiveness.html
• • framework-gaps.html
• • threat-governance-interactions.html

Purpose

Integrate all findings into coherent narrative and decision-grade artifacts.

Primary Logic Primitives

• • synthesize → Merge multiple findings into coherent whole
• • decide → Make determinations about priorities and recommendations
• • sequence → Order findings and recommendations logically

Key Tasks

1. synthesize_report_outline → Organize into introduction, threat chapters, governance review
2. generate_threat_matrix → Create crosswalk of threats vs. governance gaps
3. create_visual_maps → Develop actor networks, timelines, etc.
4. sequence_recommendations → Order recommendations by priority and dependency

Process Combinations

• • Synthesizing Complexity (Observe → Define → Infer → Reflect → Synthesize)
• • Prioritization (Observe → Define → Reflect → Synthesize)
• • Narrative Construction (Define → Infer → Synthesize)

Transition Criteria

• • Complete draft report generated
• • Threat matrix visualization created
• • Visual maps and diagrams produced
• • Recommendations sequenced and prioritized

Output Artifacts

• • report-outline.html
• • threat-matrix.html
• • visualizations-needed.html
• • recommendations.html

Purpose

Review, revise, and refine report based on feedback and new information.

Primary Logic Primitives

• • adapt → Modify output based on new information or feedback
• • reflect → Consider the completeness and quality of final outputs
• • decide → Make final determinations about report content

Key Tasks

1. reflect_on_report_completeness → Assess coverage and logical integrity
2. adapt_based_on_scm_insights → Incorporate Strategic Curiosity Mode findings
3. decide_output_format → Determine final presentation formats
4. adapt_for_audience → Tailor language and detail level for target audience

Process Combinations

• • Strategic Adjustment (Reflect → Observe → Define → Infer → Synthesize)
• • Critical Review (Observe → Reflect → Synthesize)
• • Decision Validation (Infer → Reflect → Observe)

Transition Criteria

• • Comprehensive review completed
• • SCM insights integrated
• • Output formats finalized
• • Audience adaptation complete

Output Artifacts

• • completeness-review.html
• • scm-integration.html
• • final-report.html
• • presentation-slides-outline.html

Trigger

During any phase when gaps, anomalies, or overlooked patterns appear.

Primary Logic Primitives

• • ask → Formulate questions about unexplored angles
• • observe → Gather additional data on anomalous patterns
• • infer → Generate hypotheses about unexplained phenomena
• • synthesize → Create speculative models or explanations

Key SCM Tasks

1. identify_scm_trigger → Document what caused SCM activation
2. explore_speculative_vector → Investigate anomaly or gap
3. synthesize_scm_insight → Create hypothesis or explanation
4. decide_integration_approach → Determine how to incorporate insight

Process Combinations

• • Anomaly Detection (Observe → Reflect → Infer)
• • Creative Ideation (Infer → Synthesize → Reflect)
• • Hypothesis Refinement (Infer → Reflect → Define)

SCM Output Artifacts

• • trigger-log.html
• • integration-decisions.html
• • exploration-template.html