Operation Foresight

Strategic Curiosity Mode

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๐Ÿงช Research Template

SCM Exploration Template

Date: 2025-04-23

Purpose

This document provides the standardized template for all Strategic Curiosity Mode (SCM) explorations in Operation Foresight. Using this consistent format ensures thorough documentation of triggers, methodology, and findings while facilitating seamless integration into the main research flow.

Template Task ID: scm_template_001 | Status: Active

Strategic Curiosity Mode serves as a cognitive safety mechanism that enables exploration of edge cases, anomalies, and unexpected patterns that might otherwise be overlooked in linear research. Each SCM exploration should be documented according to this template and stored in the projects/operation_foresight/scm/explorations/ directory.

๐Ÿ“„ SCM Exploration Document Structure

File Name Format: scm_exploration_{trigger_id}.md
Example: scm_exploration_anomaly_001.md

1. Frontmatter

Each exploration document begins with YAML frontmatter that includes essential metadata about the trigger and exploration status. This enables efficient tracking, categorization, and retrieval of explorations.

--- trigger_id: scm_trigger_[id] trigger_type: [anomaly|gap|combinatorial|emergence|meta] activation_date: YYYY-MM-DD research_phase: [0-5] status: [active|completed|integrated|archived] ---
trigger_id
Unique identifier for this SCM trigger event.
Format: scm_trigger_[category-abbreviation]_[sequential-number]
Example: scm_trigger_an_001
trigger_type
Category of trigger that activated this SCM exploration.
One of: anomaly, gap, combinatorial, emergence, meta
activation_date
Date when the SCM exploration was initiated.
ISO date format: YYYY-MM-DD
research_phase
The research phase during which the trigger occurred.
Number 0-5 corresponding to research phases
status
Current status of the exploration.
One of: active, completed, integrated, archived

๐Ÿ“ Content Sections

2. Trigger Context

Provide a clear, concise description of what triggered the SCM activation. This should include specific observations, data points, or patterns that met the activation threshold for one of the trigger categories.

Example: "During analysis of recent AI security incidents reported in Q1 2025, we observed that 23% of successful attacks utilized techniques that don't fit within any of the current attack typologies in our threat framework. This exceeds the 20% threshold for meta-analysis triggers and suggests a potential blindspot in our analytical framework."

3. Exploration Questions

List the specific questions that this SCM exploration aims to investigate. These questions should be focused, concrete, and designed to explore the implications, causes, or characteristics of the triggering observation.

Example:

  • What common characteristics exist among the attacks that don't fit current typologies?
  • Are these novel attacks driven by technical innovation or by new combinations of existing techniques?
  • What modifications to our threat framework would be required to categorize these attacks?
  • Does this pattern suggest the emergence of a fundamentally new threat vector?

4. Methodology

Detail the cognitive process sequence and specific investigative approaches used for this exploration. Reference specific logic primitives and process combinations from the cognitive process library.

Example: "This exploration utilized the 'Pattern Recognition' cognitive process (Observe โ†’ Infer), followed by 'Comparative Analysis' (Observe โ†’ Define โ†’ Reflect โ†’ Infer โ†’ Synthesize). We first analyzed the 23 anomalous attacks to identify common features, then compared them with our existing threat taxonomy to identify specific gaps and potential modifications."

5. Findings

Present the results of the exploration, explicitly categorizing findings based on the confidence level and evidence strength. Always maintain clear separation between different confidence levels.

Example:

Confirmed Findings:

  • 18 of the 23 anomalous attacks (78%) utilized techniques that combine elements from multiple existing attack categories
  • Current threat taxonomy lacks a formal way to represent hybrid or composite attack patterns

Plausible Findings:

  • The increase in hybrid attacks may be driven by the proliferation of automated attack generation tools
  • Taxonomic constraints are limiting threat detection capabilities in existing security systems

Speculative Findings:

  • Future attacks may involve increasingly complex combinations, potentially evolving toward "attack swarms" with multiple simultaneous hybrid vectors
  • AI-based threat classification may require graph-based rather than hierarchical taxonomies

6. Integration Recommendation

Provide specific recommendations for how the findings should be integrated into the main research flow. Reference specific documents, sections, or frameworks that should be updated.

Example:

"We recommend the following integration approach:

  1. Direct Incorporation: Update the Threat Vector Profiles document to include a new section on "Hybrid Attack Patterns" that incorporates the confirmed findings
  2. Framework Modification: Modify the threat taxonomy in the Framework document to add support for composite attack vectors and cross-category combinations
  3. Appendix Inclusion: Add the speculative findings about potential evolution toward attack swarms in the Appendix of the Second-Order Effects document, clearly marked as speculative but worthy of monitoring

This integration should be completed before Phase 3 to ensure all subsequent analysis incorporates the updated taxonomy."

Full Template for Copy/Paste

--- trigger_id: scm_trigger_[id] trigger_type: [anomaly|gap|combinatorial|emergence|meta] activation_date: YYYY-MM-DD research_phase: [0-5] status: [active|completed|integrated|archived] --- ## Trigger Context Brief description of what triggered SCM activation ## Exploration Questions Specific questions being investigated ## Methodology Logic primitives and process combinations used ## Findings Results categorized as confirmed/plausible/speculative ### Confirmed Findings - Finding 1 - Finding 2 ### Plausible Findings - Finding 1 - Finding 2 ### Speculative Findings - Finding 1 - Finding 2 ## Integration Recommendation How findings should be integrated into main research

Best Practices for SCM Exploration Documentation

  • Precision in Trigger Description: Be specific about what triggered the SCM activation, including exact measurements, thresholds, and context. Vague descriptions make it difficult to evaluate the validity of the exploration.
  • Clear Confidence Labeling: Maintain rigorous separation between confirmed, plausible, and speculative findings. This is essential for responsible integration into the main research.
  • Methodological Transparency: Explicitly reference the cognitive processes and methodological approaches used. This allows others to understand how conclusions were reached.
  • Exploration Scope Control: Keep SCM explorations focused on the specific trigger. Avoid scope creep that could dilute the investigation or consume excessive resources.
  • Integration Specificity: Provide concrete, actionable integration recommendations that specify exactly which documents should be updated and how.
  • Traceability: Ensure that all SCM explorations are properly logged in the trigger log and that integration decisions are documented in the integration decisions registry.
  • Time Bounding: SCM explorations should be time-bounded (default: 20% of phase resources) to prevent infinite exploration loops. Document time usage in the methodology section.

Note: This template is a living document that may be updated as the research process evolves. Any modifications to the template should be documented in the revision history and communicated to all researchers.

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