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exported Authored 3 sources
Myanmar's Junta at 21%
Myanmar's military junta controls just 21% of national territory as a unified resistance coalition holds 42% — the most dramatic territorial reversal in Southeast Asia since the Cold War.
Sources (3)
| Source | Score |
|---|---|
| Myanmar's NUG and Four Ethnic Armies Form Unified Resistance Command The Irrawaddy | 88% |
| Is Myanmar Headed for Collapse or Revolution? Center for Strategic and International Studies | 92% |
| Myanmar Is Not 'in Transition': War by Other Means and the Risks of Policy Drift The Diplomat | 86% |
Full Script
Narration + Stagehand commands
Commands like [map.highlight] are
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[map.view lat=19.5 lon=96.5 zoom=5.0] [entity.propose id="country:myanmar" type="country" name="Myanmar" lon=96.657 lat=16.871] [entity.propose id="city:naypyidaw" type="city" name="Naypyidaw" lon=96.129 lat=19.764] [entity.propose id="city:mandalay" type="city" name="Mandalay" lon=96.0891 lat=21.9588] [entity.propose id="region:shan_state" type="region" name="Shan State" lon=98.0 lat=22.0] [entity.propose id="region:rakhine_state" type="region" name="Rakhine State" lon=93.5 lat=20.0] [entity.propose id="region:kachin_state" type="region" name="Kachin State" lon=97.5 lat=26.0] [entity.propose id="region:karen_state" type="region" name="Karen State" lon=97.5 lat=17.5] [map.highlight ids="country:myanmar" color="#94a3b8"] [map.highlight ids="city:naypyidaw" color="#ef4444"] [map.label ids="city:naypyidaw" text="Naypyidaw — junta capital, shrinking perimeter"] Four years after Myanmar's military seized power in a coup, the junta controls just twenty-one percent of the country's territory. Resistance forces and ethnic armies hold forty-two percent. An armed revolution is winning — quietly, and almost entirely off the world's front pages. [map.highlight ids="region:shan_state,region:rakhine_state,region:kachin_state,region:karen_state" color="#a3e635"] [map.label ids="region:shan_state" text="Shan — Operation 1027 swept junta from dozens of towns"] [map.label ids="region:rakhine_state" text="Rakhine — Arakan Army controls most of the coast"] [chat.say source="csis_myanmar_collapse_revolution"] The turning point was Operation 1027 in late 2023, when the Three Brotherhood Alliance — the Arakan Army, the Ta'ang National Liberation Army, and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army — overran hundreds of military outposts in coordinated offensives. The junta has never recovered. [scene.title kind=chapter eyebrow="Clio Short" title="Junta at 21 Percent" subtitle="Myanmar's Civil War · SCEF Unified Command · March 2026"] [chat.say source="irrawaddy_scef_2026"] In March 2026, the National Unity Government and four major ethnic armies formalized the Steering Council for the Emergence of a Federal Democratic Union — the first unified resistance command in Myanmar's history. It covers a third of the country's landmass and controls significant stretches of the Chinese, Indian, and Thai borders. [map.highlight ids="country:myanmar" color="#f59e0b"] [map.spotlight id="city:mandalay"] [map.label ids="city:mandalay" text="Mandalay — contested, junta holding by air strikes"] [chat.say source="diplomat_myanmar_policy_drift_2026"] The junta survives on Chinese fuel, Russian weapons, and Iranian spare parts. Its air force still bombs cities it can no longer hold on the ground. Five-point-two million people are displaced. Fifteen thousand were killed in 2025 alone. [scene.title kind=clear] Myanmar's civil war is not trending on global news — but the map has not looked like this since independence in 1948. A landlocked junta is burning what it cannot hold, buying time with foreign lifelines, while a federal resistance coalition consolidates control of the country's edges. If the center continues to hollow out, the question is no longer whether the Tatmadaw loses — it is what replaces it. [scene.title kind=outro title="Myanmar's Junta at 21%" subtitle="Follow Clio for more."]